Scottish League One | Gameweek 20

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
3 - 1
Edinburgh

Wales (37'), Cawley (89'), Roy (90')
Steven (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

See (49')
Sambou (51'), Deane (61')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Montrose
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Edinburgh City

All competitions

Last Game: Edinburgh 2-5 Hamilton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Edinburgh City
69.96% ( 0.75)	18.02% ( -0.45)	12.02% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

1.3)

40.91% (

-1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

1.32)

63.3% (

-1.32)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47% (

0.55)

10.53% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.77% (

1.23)

34.23% (

-1.23)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.63% (

0.34)

44.37% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.57% (

0.28)

80.43% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 69.95%

Edinburgh City 12.02%

Draw 18.02%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Edinburgh City
2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.95%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.02%	0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.02%