Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 41.06% ( | 26.13% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( | 51.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( | 73.07% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( | 24.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( | 59.16% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( | 29.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.81% |