Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 68.91% ( | 18.3% ( | 12.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( | 40.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( | 62.66% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( | 10.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.56% ( | 34.44% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.23% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.78% |