Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.76%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers Under-21s would win this match.