Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 34.72% ( | 25.95% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( | 72.07% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( | 63.21% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( | 25.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( | 59.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.33% |