Stenhousemuir
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Rangers U21s

Lynch (60')
Berry (7'), Meechan (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McPake (59'), Lovelace (90+1')
Yfeko (41'), Hutton (66')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Rangers Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 0-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Rangers Under-21s

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Spartans 0-3 Rangers U21s
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose31.50Barrett
2Peterhead31.50O'Keefe
3Dumbarton21.00Blair
4Spartans21.00Dishington
5Stranraer21.00Dolan
6Clyde10.50Rennie
7East Fife10.50Page
8Elgin00.00
9Forfar00.00
10Stenhousemuir00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Rangers Under-21s had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Rangers Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawRangers Under-21s
38.47% (0.25899999999999 0.26)23.34% (0.117 0.12)38.19% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 64.03% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)37.55% (0.597 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (-0.643 -0.64)59.78% (0.643 0.64)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.139 -0.14)19.91% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (-0.225 -0.23)52.05% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Rangers Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.435 -0.44)20.05% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.704 -0.7)52.26% (0.704 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 38.47%
    Rangers Under-21s 38.19%
    Draw 23.34%
StenhousemuirDrawRangers Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 38.47%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 38.19%