Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Forfar Athletic

Stenhousemuir
0 - 0
Forfar


Buchanan (51'), Jamieson (80')
FT

Inglis (21'), Morrison (72')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Alloa
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 Forfar
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawForfar Athletic
40.81% (0.69900000000001 0.7)25.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)33.86% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)47.53% (0.32899999999999 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25% (-0.311 -0.31)69.74% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.19999999999999 0.2)23.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.296 0.3)56.99% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)26.95% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.801 -0.8)62.28% (0.796 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 40.81%
    Forfar Athletic 33.86%
    Draw 25.32%
StenhousemuirDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.179 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.86%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Forfar
Reilly (11')
Slater (57')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Forfar
1-1
Stenhousemuir
McCluskey (16')
Crighton (8')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stenhousemuir
1-2
Forfar
Yeats (90+3')
McCluskey (17'), Armour (50')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Forfar
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Nditi (89')
Moore (44'), Nditi (79')
Jamieson (20'), Sewell (42')
Yates (79'), Miller (87')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Forfar
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Forbes (21')