Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 14' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 19' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 42' goal
  • Alex Gogic 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto Nditi 53'

St Mirren vs Forfar Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Cowdenbeath 0 - 1 St Mirren

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Forfar 3 - 1 Arbroath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result

St Mirren 57.94% (-0.45)
Draw 22.56% (+0.15)
Forfar Athletic 19.5% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.43% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 46.56% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 31.16% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 68.84% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 15.48% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 84.52% (+0.15)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 84.21% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 15.78% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 55.07% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 44.92% (+0.42)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 62.08% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 37.92% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 25.31% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 74.69% (-0.18)

Score analysis

St Mirren 57.92%
Draw 22.56%
Forfar Athletic 19.5%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.04% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.56%
Forfar Athletic
0-1 @ 5.8% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.2% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.81% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.5%