Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 87.08%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 3.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.36%) and 0-4 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.43%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.