Scottish League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
3 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Rodden (19'), Taggart (68' pen.), Steven (81')
Hetherington (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lyon (16')
Tidser (54'), Moore (64')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
44.46% ( 0.19)	24.64% ( 0.03)	30.9% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-0.21)

45.44% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.23% (

-0.2)

67.77% (

0.2)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

20.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

-0)

53.03% (

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

-0.24)

27.79% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63% (

-0.31)

63.38% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 44.46%

Kelty Hearts 30.9%

Draw 24.63%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9%