Greenock Morton
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Kelty Hearts

Morton
4 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Muirhead (3', 55', 63'), Crawford (69')
Gillespie (22'), McGrattan (75'), Boyd (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyon (12')
O'Donnell (49'), Owens (51')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Greenock Morton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawKelty Hearts
64.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.43%16.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 56.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68%36.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 64.28%
    Kelty Hearts 16.29%
    Draw 19.43%
Greenock MortonDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.23%
3-0 @ 7.14%
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.66%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.75%
5-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.29%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Kelty Hearts
1-3
Morton
Daramola (45+1')
Owens (32'), O'Ware (61'), Cunningham (83')
Boyd (58'), Crawford (64'), Broadfoot (90+3')
Oakley (32'), Boyd (42'), Gillespie (52'), McGrattan (70'), Baird (84')