Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.