Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Edinburgh City
Scottish League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Edinburgh
1 - 4
Kelty Hearts

Wilkie (88')
Handling (30')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Daramola (25'), Corbett (32'), Bavidge (68'), Cunningham (76')
O'Donnell (53')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-1 QotS
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawKelty Hearts
24.18% (-0.941 -0.94)21.16% (-0.372 -0.37)54.66% (1.32 1.32)
Both teams to score 64.05% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.82% (0.827 0.83)34.18% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.93% (0.927 0.93)56.07% (-0.92 -0.92)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.251 -0.25)26.68% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.337 -0.34)61.93% (0.344 0.34)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.36% (0.675 0.67)12.64% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.21% (1.374 1.37)38.79% (-1.367 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 24.18%
    Kelty Hearts 54.66%
    Draw 21.16%
Edinburgh CityDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-0 @ 4.46% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.57% (0.173 0.17)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.166 0.17)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.57% (0.148 0.15)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.098 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.086 0.09)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.036 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.66%

Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Edinburgh
3-5
Kelty Hearts
Mercer (4'), McLean (7', 20')
Mercer (33'), Murray (59')
Johnston (27', 49'), Daramola (42', 45+3'), Cunningham (54')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Edinburgh
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Murray (46'), Shanley (59')
Darge (24'), Higginbotham (76')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kelty Hearts
1-2
Edinburgh
Barjonas (72')
Robertson (29'), Jacobs (68')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Edinburgh
2-0
Kelty Hearts
Handling (6'), Crane (70')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Kelty Hearts
0-2
Edinburgh

Barjonas (68'), Forster (75')
Robertson (34'), See (90')
Robertson (40')