Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
17.45% ( -0.2) | 21.42% ( -0.03) | 61.13% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.24% ( -0.19) | 44.75% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.88% ( -0.18) | 67.11% ( 0.19) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% ( -0.35) | 39.16% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% ( -0.33) | 75.87% ( 0.33) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( 0.01) | 14.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.19% ( 0.02) | 41.81% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.45% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |