Falkirk
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Queen's Park

Falkirk
1 - 0
Queen's Park

Allan (6' pen.)
Lawal (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Robson (39'), Turner (54')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Falkirk and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawQueen's Park
63.11% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)19.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 63.11%
    Queen's Park 16.96%
    Draw 19.93%
FalkirkDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.08%
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.11%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.93%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.96%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Queen's Park
1-1
Falkirk
Quitongo (30')
Murray (79'), Longridge (83')
Morrison (84')
Dowds (34'), Hetherington (74')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Falkirk
1-1
Queen's Park
Dowds (49')
McGuffie (45+3')
Nesbitt (90+5')
Smith (15')
Fox (25'), Longridge (65'), Gillespie (89'), Robson (90')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Queen's Park
6-0
Falkirk
Longridge (4'), Brown (35', 65'), Connell (68'), Fox (77'), Longstaff (84')
McHugh (26'), Robson (71'), Connell (71')

Hall (45+2'), Morrison (71'), Telfer (71')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Falkirk
0-1
Queen's Park

Nesbitt (66')
Murray (36')
Longridge (45+1'), Gillespie (63'), Brown (66'), Murray (85')
rhs 2.0


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