Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Falkirk
Scottish League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Montrose

Falkirk
3 - 2
Montrose

Oliver (62'), Morrison (71' pen., 90+3')
Nesbitt (36'), Long (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lyons (47'), Webster (85' pen.)
Steeves (59'), Dillon (70'), Lyons (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 1-0 Stirling
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawMontrose
66.83% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)19.42% (0.059999999999999 0.06)13.74% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (-0.124 -0.12)43.1% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (-0.121 -0.12)65.5% (0.116 0.12)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)11.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.148 -0.15)37.39% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)43.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (0.016000000000002 0.02)79.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 66.83%
    Montrose 13.74%
    Draw 19.42%
FalkirkDrawMontrose
2-0 @ 11.61%
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.42%
0-1 @ 4.34% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.74%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Montrose
1-2
Falkirk
Milne (82')
Kennedy (18', 24')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Falkirk
2-1
Montrose
Nesbitt (32', 47')
Waddell (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Montrose
1-1
Falkirk
Mackinnon (29')
McGuffie (43')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Falkirk
0-0
Montrose
McGinn (9')
Masson (18'), Waddell (29'), Wright (90+2')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Falkirk
0-3
Montrose

Dixon (52'), McKay (63')
Cameron (13'), Gardyne (71' pen.), Campbell (89')
Masson (84'), Lyons (90+2')