Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.