Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Hamilton logo
Scottish League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Montrose

Hamilton
1 - 0
Montrose

Tait (4')
Tumilty (58'), Tait (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Quinn (45+1'), Webster (57'), Machado (72')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-3 Hamilton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 0-3 Cove Rangers
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawMontrose
47.24% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)24.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)46.75% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.01% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.87% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)51.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.55% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 47.24%
    Montrose 28.16%
    Draw 24.59%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.24%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.16%