Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.16% ( 0.63) | 25.29% ( -0.2) | 34.55% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( 0.82) | 47.26% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( 0.76) | 69.49% ( -0.75) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% ( 0.69) | 23.33% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.71% ( 0.99) | 57.29% ( -0.99) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.13) | 26.4% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.18) | 61.56% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |