Scottish League One | Gameweek 13

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
1 - 0
QotS

Roy (64')
Neill (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferguson (41'), Church (83'), McClelland (90+4')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Stirling 0-2 Alloa
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Queen of the South
40.16% ( 0.63)	25.29% ( -0.2)	34.55% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74% (

0.82)

47.26% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

0.76)

69.49% (

-0.75)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

0.69)

23.33% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

0.99)

57.29% (

-0.99)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.13)

26.4% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.18)

61.56% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 40.16%

Queen of the South 34.55%

Draw 25.29%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.55%