Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 36.91% ( | 25.69% ( | 37.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.9% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.4% |