Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
29.26% ( -0.13) | 23.43% ( -0.02) | 47.32% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.63% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% ( 0.04) | 40.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.88% ( 0.04) | 63.12% ( -0.03) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( -0.09) | 61.73% ( 0.1) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% ( 0.08) | 17.47% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% ( 0.13) | 47.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |