Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.