Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Montrose

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Montrose

Smith (32'), Easton (57'), Mullin (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watson (72')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Raith Rovers and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawMontrose
62.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.17% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.17% (0.0040000000000049 0)11.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)35.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 62.81%
    Montrose 17.17%
    Draw 20.02%
Raith RoversDrawMontrose
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 62.81%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.17%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Montrose
P-P
Raith Rovers
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 22
Raith Rovers
4-3
Montrose
Matthews (8'), Bowie (25', 42'), Tait (66')
Hendry (60'), Tait (90')
Johnston (55'), Niang (58'), Quinn (76')
Ballantyne (47'), Webster (63'), Steeves (88'), Dillon (90')
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Montrose
0-1
Raith Rovers

Ballantyne (57')
Spencer (68')
MacDonald (62'), Armstrong (77'), Spencer (79'), Anderson (92')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 4
Raith Rovers
3-0
Montrose
Bowie (80'), Gullan (84'), Melingui (93')
Spencer (63'), Matthews (74')

Cregg (83'), Campbell (89')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Montrose
1-1
Raith Rovers
Webster (10')
McGuffie (20')