Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 43.78% ( | 24.51% ( | 31.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( | 62.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.7% |