Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.