Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 37.99% ( | 26.29% | 35.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( | 51.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( | 73.25% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( | 61.54% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( | 27.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( | 63.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.72% |