Falkirk
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.40pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Dundee United

Falkirk
4 - 2
Dundee Utd

Morrison (4', 71'), Lang (65'), Yeats (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cudjoe (23'), Watt (33')
Moult (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Falkirk and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
FalkirkDrawDundee United
35.07% (0.574 0.57)27.36% (0.434 0.43)37.56% (-1.007 -1.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-1.285 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (-1.653 -1.65)55.86% (1.654 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (-1.363 -1.36)76.98% (1.364 1.36)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.453 -0.45)30.26% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.547 -0.55)66.43% (0.54700000000001 0.55)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.372 -1.37)28.73% (1.372 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-1.745 -1.75)64.56% (1.744 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 35.07%
    Dundee United 37.56%
    Draw 27.36%
FalkirkDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.54 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Falkirk vs Dundee Utd

Falkirk
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Dundee United
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Falkirk
0-1
Dundee Utd
Fotheringham (28')
McMann (50'), MacLeod (83'), Graham (86'), Glass (89'), Grimshaw (90+3')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Dundee Utd
2-0
Falkirk
Bouhenna (15'), McMullan (26')
Butcher (19'), Sow (53'), Robson (71')

MacLean (38'), McKenna (68'), Dixon (78'), McShane (78')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Falkirk
1-1
Dundee Utd
McKenna (84')
McGhee (35'), Paton (79')
Smith (49')
Butcher (42'), Harkes (45'), Sow (82')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Dundee Utd
2-1
Falkirk
Stanton (22'), Safranko (53')
Safranko (64'), Curran (90')
Muirhead (90' pen.)
Rudden (33'), Haber (48'), Buaben (58'), Sammut (70'), Muirhead (78'), Harrison (90')
Paton (65')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Falkirk
0-2
Dundee Utd
Safranko (59'), Curran (86')