Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Falkirk
Scottish League One | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Falkirk
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Nesbitt (41'), Maciver (76')
Lang (5'), Maciver (15'), Henderson (26'), McCann (61'), Ross (72'), Yeats (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bavidge (66')
Johnston (38'), Moore (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
74.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)10.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)33.19% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.42% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)42.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.68%
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 74.36%
    Kelty Hearts 10.25%
    Draw 15.39%
FalkirkDrawKelty Hearts
2-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.89%
4-0 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.4%
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19%
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.13%
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 74.36%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.39%
1-2 @ 3.06%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.25%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kelty Hearts
1-5
Falkirk
O'Donnell (45+1')
O'Ware (19'), Johnston (84')
Henderson (2'), Morrison (19' pen., 33'), Maciver (73'), Nesbitt (80')
Henderson (45'), Spencer (84')
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Falkirk
0-0
Kelty Hearts
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Kelty Hearts
1-2
Falkirk
Higginbotham (32')
Allan (79'), Burrell (90')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Falkirk
2-3
Kelty Hearts
Alegria (56'), Burrell (71')
Agyeman (6', 8'), Lyon (66')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Kelty Hearts
2-0
Falkirk
Cardle (19'), McGill (26')
Barjonas (35'), Cardle (51'), Martin (90+1')

Donaldson (42')