Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Danny Gosset 37'

Shane Sutton 90'+5'

Caernarfon Town vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
D
D
D
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
D
D
D
W
L

Last game

Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Newtown AFC

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Feb 24, 2024 2.30pm

Newtown 1 - 5 Bala Town

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 37.62% ▲ (+0.60)

Draw 23.19% ▲ (+0.17)

Newtown AFC 39.18% ▼ (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score:

64.59% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.18% ▼ (-0.81)

Under 2.5 36.82% ▲ (+0.80)

Over 3.5 41.01% ▼ (-0.88)

Under 3.5 58.99% ▲ (+0.87)

Over 4.5 22.95% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 4.5 77.04% ▲ (+0.72)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.01% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 0.5 19.99% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 47.83% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 52.17% ▲ (+0.11)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 80.73% ▼ (-0.69)

Under 0.5 19.27% ▲ (+0.68)

Over 1.5 49% ▼ (-1.14)

Under 1.5 51% ▲ (+1.13)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 37.62%

Draw 23.19%

Newtown AFC 39.18%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.12)

1-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.23)

2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.18)

3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.04)

3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.09)

4-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)

4-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)

4-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 3.17%

Total : 37.62%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.17)

2-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.06)

0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.15)

3-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.37%

Total : 23.19%

Newtown AFC

1-2 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.06)

0-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.12)

0-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.13)

2-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.12)

0-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.08)

1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.10)

2-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.09)

0-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 3.41%

Total : 39.18%

Head to Head

Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Aaron Williams 40'
Aaron Williams 45'+3'
Rob Evans 51'
Shane Sutton 57'
Aaron Williams 71'
Henry Cowans 73'
Ryan Sears 77'
Ryan Sears 85'
Kieran Mills-Evans 89'
Matthew Jones 90'+3'

Dion Donohue 90'+5'

Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Phil Mooney 40'
Zack Clarke 45'+4'
Adam Davies 53'
Phil Mooney 60'
Adam Davies 82'
Darren Thomas 84'
Louis Lloyd 90'+1'

Rob Evans 18'
Callum Roberts 68'
Zeli Ismail 80'
Hannoch Boakye 84'
Aaron Williams 90'+10'

Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 30'
Noah Edwards 62'

Louis Robles 8'
Aaron Williams 27'
Nick Rushton 53'

Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Nick Rushton 3'
Aaron Williams 23'

Ryan Williams 49'
Ben Wynne 55'
Ben Wynne 73'

Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Callum Roberts 45'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 45'+2'
88'
Dave Jones 90'+5'

Rob Hughes 40'
Noah Edwards 42'
Gruff John Williams 58'
Cai Jones 88'
Steve Evans 90'+1'

Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Noah Edwards 24'
Steve Evans 34'
82'
Charles Jones 84'

24'
Jordan Evans 52'
Aaron Williams 85'

Form Data

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay

New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Newtown 1 - 5 Bala Town

Newtown 2 - 3 Connah's Quay

New Saints 3 - 0 Newtown

New Saints 3 - 1 Newtown

Barry 4 - 0 Newtown

Bala Town 2 - 1 Newtown