Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Newell (55' pen.)
Solomon-Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bratley (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 24 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.25% (-0.026 -0.03)24.45% (-0.012 -0.01)51.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (0.023999999999997 0.02)71.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)71.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)50.76% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 24.25%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 51.3%
    Draw 24.45%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.25%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 51.3%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (57')
Edwards (90+3')
Abadaki (14')
Abadaki (31'), Arsan (59'), Malkin (73'), Malkin (73'), Smith (90+3')
Malkin (90+3')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
1-0
Connah's Quay
Rushton (48' og.)
White (77')

Nash (64'), Kenny (75'), Franklin (75')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bala Town
1-2
Connah's Quay
Newell (27')
Franklin (26'), Horan (42')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (14')
Roscrow (76')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
0-0
Connah's Quay