Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 40'
Naim Arsan 57'
Iwan Roberts 76'

Danny Gosset 45'+2'
Adam Davies 50'
Morgan Owen 71'
Sion Bradley 90'+5'

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

W
W
L
D
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
L
D
W
W

Last game

Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

George Newell

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
D
D
D
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
D
D
D
W

Last game

Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Bala Town 52.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 23.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Caernarfon Town 23.24% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

53.75% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 47.25% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 30.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 69.48% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 4.5 15.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 4.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 17.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.37% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 0.5 34.63% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 1.5 28.65% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 1.5 71.35% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Bala Town 52.98%

Draw 23.77%

Caernarfon Town 23.24%

Bala Town

1-0 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.03)

2-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.61%

3-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 2.42%

4-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.58%

Total : 52.98%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 23.77%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.1%

Total : 23.24%

Head to Head

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Maes Tegid

Joshua Ukek 11'
Nathan Peate 34'
Iwan Roberts 45'+1'
Kieran Smith 61'
Osebi Abadaki 79'

Ben Wynne 37'
Dion Donohue 39'
Adam Davies 45'+3'
Darren Thomas 60'

Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 75'

Nathan Peate 41'
Naim Arsan 56'
Kyle Harrison 68'
Oliver Shannon 69'

Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 16'
Adam Roscrow 40'
Chris Venables 89'

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

1

5

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 5'

Antony Kay 10'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 34'
Luke Wall 51'
Oliver Shannon 65'
James Davies 90'+2'

Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dion Donohue 55'
Aaron Simpson 80'

Will Evans 55'
Dean Ebbe 75'

Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Dion Donohue 37'
J. Faux 49'
Sion Bradley 71'
Cai Jones 84'

Dean Ebbe 14'
Dean Ebbe 44'
Will Evans 86'
Sean Smith 90'
Will Evans 90'+3'

Form Data

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Newtown 1 - 5 Bala Town

Bala Town 0 - 1 New Saints

Bala Town 1 - 1 Cardiff MU

Haverfordwest 2 - 3 Bala Town

Bala Town 2 - 1 Newtown

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay