Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 84'
Dion Donohue 90'+6'

Chris Craven 5'
Sam Jones 13'
Barney Soady 45'+4'

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
D
W
L
D
D

Welsh Premier League

W
D
W
L
D
D

Last game

Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Cardiff MU

All competitions

L
L
L
L
D
D

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
D
D

Last game

Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm

Cardiff MU 0 - 1 Bala Town

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Eliot Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 43.68% ▲ (+0.11)

Draw 24.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Cardiff MU 31.58% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score:

57.34% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.37% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 2.5 45.63% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 3.5 32.04% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 3.5 67.96% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 4.5 16.1% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 4.5 83.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.04% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 0.5 20.96% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 1.5 46.29% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 1.5 53.71% ▼ (-0.18)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 72.55% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 27.45% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 37.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 62.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 43.68%

Draw 24.74%

Cardiff MU 31.58%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)

4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.67%

Total : 43.68%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.04)

3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 24.74%

Cardiff MU

1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.05%

Other @ 2.94%

Total : 31.58%

Head to Head

Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Emlyn Lewis 17'
Tom Price 24'
Eliot Evans 57'
Sam Jones 70'
Matt Clubb 90'+2'
Kyle McCarthy 90'+6'

Adam Davies 10'
Sion Bradley 18'
Gruff John Williams 74'
Gwion Dafydd 84'

Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Emlyn Lewis 70'
Eliot Evans 73'

Adam Davies 9'
Danny Gosset 87'

Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Sion Bradley 4'
Sion Bradley 37'
Adam Davies 49'
Sion Bradley 58'
Zack Clarke 69'

Chris Craven 32'
Dion Donohue 52' (OG)
H 76'
Chris Craven 81'

Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Dion Donohue 62'
Fidel O'Rourke 72'
Fidel O'Rourke 89'

Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 3 1

FT The Oval

Ben Wynne 3'
Ben Wynne 25'
Darren Thomas 42'
Alex Lang 73'
Noah Edwards 80'
Darren Thomas 88'

Eliot Evans 30'
Matt Chubb 73'
Tom Price 82'

May 7, 2022 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Mike Hayes 45'+1'
Dion Donohue 63'
Darren Thomas 72'

Matt Chubb 78'

Form Data

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 0 - 1 Bala Town

Newtown 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

New Saints 4 - 0 Cardiff MU

Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Bala Town 1 - 1 Cardiff MU