Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8

Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
7 - 1
Caernarfon

McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Airdrieonians
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
88.63% ( 0.6)	7.32% ( -0.4)	4.05% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

85.26% (

1.36)

14.74% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

69.8% (

2.13)

30.2% (

-2.13)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.95% (

0.25)

2.05% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

89.97% (

0.95)

10.02% (

-0.96)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

0.83)

42.21% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

0.7)

78.62% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 88.63%

Caernarfon Town 4.05%

Draw 7.32%

The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
3-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.38) 4-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.51) 5-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.21) 6-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.19) 6-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 7-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.17) 7-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.19) 6-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.13) 8-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) 8-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 5.82% Total : 88.63%	1-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.08% Total : 7.32%	1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 4.05%