Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm

7

1

HT : 4 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Declan McManus 7'
Ben Clark 13'
Adrian Cieslewicz 16'
Daniel Redmond 22'
Adrian Cieslewicz 47'
Declan McManus 59'
Blaine Hudson 90'

Ben Maher 33'
Ben Maher 33'
Louis Lloyd 72'

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm

Newtown 0 - 1 New Saints

Goals scored

117

Top scorer

Brad Young

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
D

Welsh Premier League

L
W
D
W
L
D

Last game

Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

The New Saints 88.63% ▲ (+0.60)

Draw 7.32% ▼ (-0.41)

Caernarfon Town 4.05% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score:

56.6% ▲ (+0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 85.26% ▲ (+1.36)

Under 2.5 14.74% ▼ (-1.37)

Over 3.5 69.8% ▲ (+2.13)

Under 3.5 30.2% ▼ (-2.13)

Over 4.5 51.44% ▲ (+2.49)

Under 4.5 48.55% ▼ (-2.49)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 97.95% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 0.5 2.05% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 1.5 89.97% ▲ (+0.96)

Under 1.5 10.02% ▼ (-0.96)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.79% ▲ (+0.83)

Under 0.5 42.21% ▼ (-0.84)

Over 1.5 21.38% ▲ (+0.71)

Under 1.5 78.62% ▼ (-0.71)

Score analysis

The New Saints 88.63%

Draw 7.32%

Caernarfon Town 4.05%

The New Saints

3-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.39)

4-0 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.12)

3-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.16)

4-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.06)

2-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.51)

5-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.10)

2-1 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.30)

5-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.21)

6-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.19)

6-1 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.24)

1-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.37)

3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.10)

5-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.15)

7-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.17)

7-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.19)

6-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.14)

8-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.12)

Other @ 6.78%

Total : 88.63%

Draw

1-1 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.25)

2-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.99%

Total : 7.32%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 2.8%

Total : 4.05%

Head to Head

Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm

1

8

HT : 1 4

FT The Oval

Sion Bradley 7'

Brad Young 2'
Adrian Cieslewicz 30'
Adrian Cieslewicz 31'
Brad Young 34'
Brad Young 49'
Rory Holden 55'
Brad Young 73'
Blaine Hudson 85'
Rory Holden 90'

Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Connor Roberts 14'
Daniel Davies 45'+1'
D. Davies 45'+1'
Jordan Williams 78'
Chris Marriott 81'
Jordan Williams 82'

Louis Lloyd 13'
Ben Wynne 82'

Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 6'

Ben Clark 58'
Jordan Williams 63'
Ryan Brobbel 76'

Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Declan McManus 72'

Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Ryan Brobbel 16'
Adam Wilson 42'
Gwion Dafydd 90'+3'

Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Declan McManus 2'
Ryan Brobbel 42'
Declan McManus 88'

Gwion Dafydd 90'+4'

Form Data

New Saints 1 - 2 Airdrieonians

Newtown 0 - 1 New Saints

Connah's Quay 1 - 5 New Saints

New Saints 4 - 0 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Bala Town 0 - 1 New Saints

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon