Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Ballyclare Comrades had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Ballyclare Comrades win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.