Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.