Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 83.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 5.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 4-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.