Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.