Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.