NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 1
Crusaders


O'Donnell (31'), McMurray (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Offord (5')
Weir (19'), Larmour (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 4-2 Ballymena
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Crusaders
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
22.93% (0.012 0.01)23.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)53.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)68.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.87% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)17.04% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 22.93%
    Crusaders 53.68%
    Draw 23.39%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.68%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Ballymena
2-4
Crusaders
Nelson (18'), Taylor (28')
McCullough (8'), Nelson (81'), Taylor (85')
Lecky (11'), Kennedy (67'), Heatley (71'), O'Rourke (74')
Clarke (54'), Lecky (59')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
1-0
Ballymena
Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')

McCullough (76')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ballymena
0-0
Crusaders
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')