NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 0
Loughgall

McCullough (3')
Chapman (25'), Mackinnon (45'), Fyfe (56'), Obhakhan (61'), Thompson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murdock (20'), Hoey (63'), Gibson (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Portadown
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 4-1 Loughgall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLoughgall
42.1% (0.011999999999993 0.01)23.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)34.36% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)39.04% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)61.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)18.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)50.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)22.65% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)56.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 42.1%
    Loughgall 34.36%
    Draw 23.53%
PortadownDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Loughgall
2-2
Portadown
Ferris (7'), Kelly (65')
McAleer (58')
Mayse (2'), Ukek (51')
McCullough (6'), Ukek (19'), McCartan (35'), Obhakhan (77')