Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.