Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.