NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11

Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 3
Glentoran

Cooper (9')
Mulgrew (4'), Millar (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Donnelly (49'), Hvid (63'), Palmer (80')
Singleton (4'), Fisher (75'), Jenkins (81')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions

Last Game: Coleraine 0-3 Linfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glentoran

All competitions

Last Game: Glentoran 0-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Glentoran
50.39% ( 0.97)	23.93% ( -0.19)	25.68% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

0.21)

45.62% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

0.2)

67.95% (

-0.2)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

0.46)

18.15% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.87% (

0.78)

49.13% (

-0.78)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

-0.5)

31.67% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

-0.58)

68.09% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Linfield 50.39%

Glentoran 25.68%

Draw 23.93%

Linfield	Draw	Glentoran
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 50.39%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.68%