Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.