NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
1 - 0
Cliftonville

Jenkins (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Markey (20'), Lowe (56'), Glynn (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Glentoran
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawCliftonville
45.62% (0.059999999999995 0.06)24.24% (0.023 0.02)30.14% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.152 -0.15)44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62% (-0.149 -0.15)66.38% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)19.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)51.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.133 -0.13)27.58% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.171 -0.17)63.11% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 45.62%
    Cliftonville 30.14%
    Draw 24.24%
GlentoranDrawCliftonville
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.14%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
2-0
Glentoran
Mallon (11'), Hale (58' pen.)
Casey (45+2')

McCartan (65')
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Glentoran
2-2
Cliftonville
Wilson (38'), Burns (45+1')
McCullough (56'), O'Connor (65')
Hale (48'), Casey (90+5')
Hale (78')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cliftonville
2-2
Glentoran
Hale (3'), Kearney (55')
Casey (82'), Hale (90+4')
O'Connor (45+3'), Fisher (48')
Fisher (36'), Russell (82')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Glentoran
1-0
Cliftonville
McGinn (76')
Palmer (34'), O'Connor (63')

Casey (30'), Pepper (90+4'), Pepper (90+3')
May 13, 2023 4.30pm
Glentoran
2-0
Cliftonville
Ogedi-Uzokwe (35' pen., 40')

Addis (34'), Gormley (54'), Hale (55')
Rocks (70')