Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Southport win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.