Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Haig Avenue
Oldham Athletic

Southport
2 - 0
Oldham

Owolabi (42'), Minihan (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Southport and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bootle FC 2-2 Southport
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Oldham 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawOldham Athletic
20.44% (0.122 0.12)23.48% (0.056000000000001 0.06)56.08% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)49.16% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)71.22% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38.41% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.16% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)17.35% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (-0.163 -0.16)47.74% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Southport 20.44%
    Oldham Athletic 56.07%
    Draw 23.47%
SouthportDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 11.67%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.07%