Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 17.66% | 20.7% ( | 61.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( | 63.56% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( | 36.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% ( | 73.56% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( | 12.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.77% ( | 39.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.66% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-4 @ 3.49% 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-5 @ 1.43% ( 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.64% |