National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 0
Oxford City

Grigg (1'), Naylor (55')
Dobra (40'), Colclough (75'), Banks (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (60'), Ashby (73'), Roddy (85'), O'Connell (85')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 86.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Oxford City
86.22% ( 0.27)	9.24% ( -0.13)	4.55% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.13% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.95% (

-0.14)

24.05% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.34% (

-0.18)

43.66% (

0.18)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.28% (

0.01)

3.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.03% (

0.06)

15.97% (

-0.06)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.99% (

-0.7)

50.01% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.34% (

-0.49)

84.66% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 86.2%

Oxford City 4.55%

Draw 9.24%

Chesterfield	Draw	Oxford City
3-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 86.2%	1-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 9.24%	1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 4.55%