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Chesterfield
National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
AFC Fylde

Chesterfield
4 - 1
Fylde

Dobra (28'), Jones (55'), Grigg (57'), Palmer (71')
Palmer (35'), Mandeville (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ormerod (67')
Barrett (17'), Ustabasi (34'), Adshead (45+2')
Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: York City 1-3 Fylde
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawFylde
63.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)17.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 59.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.42% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54%10.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 63.28%
    Fylde 17.46%
    Draw 19.25%
ChesterfieldDrawFylde
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.63%
4-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 4.07%
4-0 @ 3.74%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 63.28%
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 17.46%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Fylde
2-4
Chesterfield
Ustabasi (75'), Davis (86')
Philliskirk (14'), Davis (14'), Bird (42'), Walker (82'), Ustabasi (86')
Davis (90+7')
Williams (6'), Mandeville (37'), Grigg (45+4'), Colclough (49')
Grigg (24'), Horton (79'), Dobra (84'), Banks (90+2')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-1
Fylde
Smith (32')
Haughton (76')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Fylde
1-3
Chesterfield
Hornby-Forbes (92')
Bradley (52'), Craigen (65')
Weston (55'), Fondop-Talom (68', 81')
Yarney (52'), Smith (69')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Fylde
0-1
Chesterfield

Croasdale (55')
Fortune (13')
Weir (36')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
0-0
Fylde
rhs 2.0


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