Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 40.96% ( | 23.9% ( | 35.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( | 63.01% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( | 20.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( | 52.32% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( | 22.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( | 56.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14% |