National League | Gameweek 30

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
Barnet

Norwood (39' pen., 53' pen.)
Sachdev (21'), Hogan (60'), Norwood (67'), Kitching (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olowu (52'), Hall-Johnson (86')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-1 Oldham
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Barnet
40.88% ( 0.24)	24.1% ( -0.04)	35.02% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 60.8% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.38% (

0.16)

41.61% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.98% (

0.16)

64.01% (

-0.16)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

0.18)

20.54% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

0.28)

53.05% (

-0.28)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-0.03)

23.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48% (

-0.05)

57.51% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 40.88%

Barnet 35.02%

Draw 24.1%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.88%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.02%