Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
| 30.44% ( | 23.76% | 45.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% | 41.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( | 64.04% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( | 26.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( | 61.3% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( | 49.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.54% Total : 45.79% |